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Tuesday, January 31, 2017

wednesday-fomc-auto-sales-ism-mfg-adp-employment-construction-spending


Wednesday:

• At 7:00 AM ET, The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) will release the results for the mortgage purchase applications index.


• At 8:15 AM, The ADP Employment Report for January. This report is for private payrolls only (no government). The consensus is for 168,000 payroll jobs added in January, up from 153,000 added in December.


• At 10:00 AM, ISM Manufacturing Index for January. The consensus is for the ISM to be at 55.0, up from 54.7 in December. The employment index was at 53.1% in December, and the new orders index was at 60.2%.


• At 10:00 AM, Construction Spending for December. The consensus is for a 0.2% increase in construction spending.


• All day, Light vehicle sales for January. The consensus is for light vehicle sales to decrease to 17.7 million SAAR in January, from 18.4 million in December (Seasonally Adjusted Annual Rate).


• At 2:00 PM, FOMC Meeting Announcement. No change to FOMC policy is expected at this meeting.







wednesday-fomc-auto-sales-ism-mfg-adp-employment-construction-spending

5 Signs the Trump Stock Rally Will Come to an End


Donald Trump plans to shake up Washington. My fear is that he’s also going to shake up the stock market. His inability to control his Twitter finger and his frequent policy shifts are unnerving investors. There’s nothing Wall Street hates worse than uncertainty — and Trump is nothing if not unpredictable.


See Also: What to Expect From Trump’s First 100 Days


The stock market has shot up since Donald Trump won the November 8 election on expectations that the new president will bring faster economic growth and with it a small, healthy pickup in inflation. But the rally in stocks has stalled in recent weeks, and, in my view, more trouble is on the horizon.


I won’t belabor Trump’s policy reversals. They’ve been well-documented elsewhere. Suffice it to say that he has been on both sides of almost every major issue—from abortion to relations with Russia, from nuclear weapons to the Iraq war.


But Trump’s agenda poses other major problems for the markets. Strangely, Wall Street has embraced the parts of Trump’s campaign rhetoric that it likes while assuming that he’ll abandon the things the market doesn’t like. That’s a risky wager.



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Don’t get me wrong. The Trump plan clearly has some positives for stocks. If enacted, his proposed massive tax cuts for individuals and corporations would boost consumer and corporate spending.


Trump has also called for deregulation, freeing businesses to raise productivity and profits while decreasing the amount of time and dollars devoted to complying with such things as environmental and workplace regulations. That’s another plus for the stock market.


Watch for these warning signals


But consider some of the potential negatives that Trump presents for stocks.


Protectionism. Restrictions on trade are a central part of Trump’s agenda. He’s proposed tariffs on imports from China and Mexico of 45% and 35%, respectively. Is he serious? Many economists say he can’t be. Tariffs such as those could ignite a full-scale trade war and bring disaster to the global economy. If the United States turns towards protectionism, even a milder version, it would certainly bring higher prices on imports, and it might even push the U.S. and some of its trading partners into recession.



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Immigration curbs. Trump’s signature campaign issue was animus toward immigration. He called for deporting as many as 11 million illegal immigrants from Mexico and other countries, and reducing the number of new immigrants. With the number of U.S. workers applying for new unemployment benefits at its lowest level in 40 years, curbs on immigration could mean severe shortages of unskilled workers.


Trump has also called for sharp reductions in the H-1B visa program, which allows tens of thousands of highly skilled workers to come from abroad temporarily. Silicon Valley is particularly worried about the possible loss of these workers, many of whom are scientists, engineers and computer programmers.


Higher deficits and interest rates. The flip side of massive tax cuts is bigger budget deficits. That would almost certainly push interest rates higher. Higher interest rates have a braking effect on economic growth and would be particularly harmful to companies that issue a lot of debt.


A stronger dollar. Trump says the dollar is too strong and accuses China of unfairly pushing down the value of the yuan. But higher interest rates in the U.S. would likely lead to an even stronger greenback. A strong dollar hurts U.S. exporters and multinational firms.



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Inflation. Trump has also called for massive infrastructure spending, although he has been quiet about that in recent weeks. A giant tax cut on top of big spending on infrastructure in an economy that’s pretty healthy could fan inflation. A little inflation would be a good thing, but policymakers have learned the hard way that a little inflation often becomes a lot of inflation. The Federal Reserve would almost certainly act to prevent that, but, in doing so, would likely slow the economy.


What the stock market is saying now


Trump, on balance, is a huge minus for stocks, in my view. But politicians, even presidents, only have so much influence on the markets. Other factors are at least as important.


My favorite market strategist, Jim Stack, editor of InvesTech Research, considers the internal health of the market as well as economic indicators to arrive at his market view.


Both, he says, are shouting “buy.” The market rally, thus far, has been broad. Shares of small, midsize and large companies have all been going up. Far more stocks are rising most days than are declining, Stack points out.



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The economy is also gathering strength. The Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence Index recently vaulted to its highest level since 2001. Regional surveys of manufacturing are moving higher. Confidence among home builders has moved to its highest level since 2005.


However, no matter how you look at the market, it’s expensive. Doug Ramsey, chief investment officer of the Leuthold Group, an investment research firm, says that U.S. stock prices are in the 90th percentile and above compared with their historical averages—whether you look at price-earnings ratios or other multiples, including price-to-cash flow, price-to-book value or price-to-sales. The only time the market has been pricier, Ramsey says, was in the late 1990s during the tech bubble.


High valuations don’t cause bear markets, but they often signal how deep bear-market losses will be. I don’t know when the next bear market will begin. But with Trump at the helm, I fear it could come sooner than it would have with someone else in the White House.


What to do? I wouldn’t sell anything now. But watch the market’s price and volume patterns as well as the forward-looking economic indicators. When they start to deteriorate, it’s time to cut back on your stock holdings.


Steve Goldberg is an investment adviser in the Washington, D.C., area.


See Also: The Best Dividend Stocks in the Dow Averages




5 Signs the Trump Stock Rally Will Come to an End

freddie-mac-releases-outlook-on-multifamily-demand-oversupply-risks-in-2017


MCLEAN, VA–(Marketwired – Jan 31, 2017) – The Freddie Mac (OTCQB: FMCC) Multifamily Research Group today released its 2017 Multifamily Outlook on demand, vacancies and rent growth nationally and in the nation’s top metro markets. A video discussion along with the complete Outlook is available here.


Outlook Highlights:


  • At the national level, oversupply risks are expected to be kept in check by steady absorption rates, a modest drop in multifamily starts, stable employment growth, new household formations and changing lifestyle preferences that favor rental housing.

  • Vacancy rates are expected to top 5 percent nationally for the first time since 2011.

  • Rents are expected to grow at their 2016 pace and exceed historical averages for another year. Overall, gross income growth is expected to average 3.4 percent in the nation’s top 70 metropolitan markets. Performance in individual metros will vary based on local supply and demand characteristics.

“Demand for rental units is at a historic high due to demographic changes and lifestyle preferences, but increasing new supply and other factors are likely to moderate multifamily market growth in 2017,” said Steve Guggenmos, Freddie Mac Multifamily vice president of research and modeling. “In particular, landlords are likely to pull back on rent increases as new supply enters the market and vacancy rates rise.”


“Looking at our list of top ten markets, we see the west coast remain a dominant player but moving away from the Bay Area to other western cities — Sacramento, Seattle, Tacoma and Portland — and a number of less likely candidates — Jacksonville, Phoenix, and Tampa — moving up the rankings in the coming year,” Guggenmos added.


Freddie Mac Multifamily is the nation’s multifamily housing finance leader. Nearly 90 percent of the rental homes we fund are affordable to families with low to moderate incomes.


Freddie Mac makes home possible for millions of families and individuals by providing mortgage capital to lenders. Since our creation by Congress in 1970, we’ve made housing more accessible and affordable for homebuyers and renters in communities nationwide. We are building a better housing finance system for homebuyers, renters, lenders and taxpayers. Learn more at FreddieMac.com, Twitter @FreddieMac and Freddie Mac’s blog FreddieMac.com/blog.




freddie-mac-releases-outlook-on-multifamily-demand-oversupply-risks-in-2017

freddie-mac-january-2017-outlook


MCLEAN, VA–(Marketwired – Jan 30, 2017) – Freddie Mac (OTCQB: FMCC) released today its monthly Outlook for January 2017 with a look at the uncertainty that weighs on the housing market after the best year in a decade. 


Outlook Highlights 


  • After the U.S. presidential election, expectations about economic policy have shifted, particularly expectations about fiscal policy. While we still do not know all the parameters of the fiscal policy changes, the assumption is that an expansionary policy will boost both growth and inflation over the next two years and that corporate tax reform will increase long-run potential economic growth by about two-tenths of a percentage point.

  • The new administration’s tax proposals include increasing the standard deduction and flattening marginal personal income tax rates. Increasing the standard deduction will reduce the number of households who find it advantageous to itemize deductions. This will reduce the incentive for homeownership coming from the mortgage interest deduction.

  • The recent appreciation of the dollar has made U.S. real estate more expensive to many international buyers. It remains to be seen if foreign buyers will still seek to invest in U.S. real estate if the dollar trend continues in the future.

  • Expect mortgage rates to rise throughout 2017, dampening housing and mortgage market activity. With rising interest rates, we expect mortgage origination volumes to decline in 2017 relative to 2016 and origination volume to stabilize at a lower level in 2018.

  • Due to housing price appreciation, home equity in the U.S. has increased to about $13.0 trillion through the third quarter of 2016, rising from about $7.0 trillion in the second quarter of 2011.

Quote: Attributed to Sean Becketti, Chief Economist, Freddie Mac.


“The U.S. economy is now in its eighth year of expansion and the housing market is coming off its best year in a decade. Prospects remain good for future growth. However, uncertainty weighs on our outlook for 2017 and 2018. We must grapple with uncertainty about fiscal policy, foreign investments in U.S. real estate, and the size of the mortgage market. Among the many uncertainties we highlighted, however, a smaller mortgage market in 2017 than 2016 seems most certain.”


Freddie Mac was established by Congress in 1970 to provide liquidity, stability and affordability to the nation’s residential mortgage markets. Freddie Mac supports communities across the nation by providing mortgage capital to lenders. Today Freddie Mac is making home possible for one in four home borrowers and is the largest source of financing for multifamily housing. Additional information is available at FreddieMac.com, Twitter @FreddieMac and Freddie Mac’s blog FreddieMac.com/blog.




freddie-mac-january-2017-outlook

federal-reserve-board-announces-finalized-stress-testing-rules-removing-noncomplex-firms-from-qualitative-aspect-of-ccar-effective-for-2017


Release Date: January 30, 2017


For release at 4:30 p.m. EST


The Federal Reserve Board on Monday finalized a rule adjusting its capital plan and stress testing rules, effective for the 2017 cycle. The final rule removes large and noncomplex firms from the qualitative assessment of the Federal Reserve’s Comprehensive Capital Analysis and Review (CCAR), reducing significant burden on these firms and focusing the qualitative review in CCAR on the largest, most complex financial institutions.


As stated by the Board last year, the Board intended to finalize these changes for the 2017 CCAR cycle, which began on January 1, 2017. The scenarios and instructions for the 2017 CCAR cycle will be released by the end of this week.


CCAR evaluates the capital planning processes and capital adequacy of large financial institutions through quantitative and qualitative assessments. The qualitative assessment evaluates the strength of each firm’s capital planning process. The quantitative assessment evaluates each’s firm’s capital adequacy, based on hypothetical scenarios of severe economic and financial market stress. Previously, the Board could object to the annual capital plan of any CCAR firm, based on the quantitative or qualitative findings of the exercise.


The final rule removes the qualitative assessment of CCAR for large and noncomplex firms, which are bank holding companies and U.S. intermediate holding companies of foreign banking organizations with total consolidated assets between $50 billion and $250 billion, total nonbank assets of less than $75 billion, and that are not identified as global systemically important banks (GSIBs). Under the proposal, for a firm to be removed from the qualitative portion of CCAR, it also needed to have less than $10 billion in foreign exposure. However, in response to comments, the final rule eliminates that criterion.


Large and noncomplex firms will still be required to meet their capital requirements under stress as part of CCAR’s quantitative assessment and will be subject to regular supervisory assessments that examine their capital planning processes. The largest and most complex bank holding companies will remain subject to the qualitative and quantitative components of CCAR, and the Board may continue to object to their capital plans on both qualitative and quantitative grounds.


Like the proposed rule, the final rule reduces certain reporting requirements for large and noncomplex firms. Additionally, the final rule decreases the amount of additional capital a firm can distribute to shareholders in connection with a capital plan that has not been objected to without seeking prior approval from the Board. Previously, a firm could distribute up to an additional 1 percent of its tier 1 capital beyond the amount in its capital plan. The final rule reduces that amount to 0.25 percent of tier 1 capital.


For media inquiries, call 202-452-2955.


Attachment (PDF)


Board Votes





federal-reserve-board-announces-finalized-stress-testing-rules-removing-noncomplex-firms-from-qualitative-aspect-of-ccar-effective-for-2017

Monday, January 30, 2017

New Residential Plans $800M Stock Offering to Pay for Citi MSRs


New Residential Investment Corp. is planning a public offering of more than 49.2 million shares of its stock to pay for its purchase of mortgage servicing rights from CitiMortgage.




New Residential Plans $800M Stock Offering to Pay for Citi MSRs

find-your-jumbo-and-fha-loan-limits



mortgage

By • Bankrate.com



Couple hanging art on wall | ESB Professional/Shutterstock.com


ESB Professional/Shutterstock.com


Use this page to look up the conforming and FHA loan limits in every county. Any mortgage for more than the county’s loan limit is a jumbo loan.



Jumbo loan


A mortgage for more than the conforming limit set by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. In most counties, any mortgage of more than $424,100 is a jumbo loan. In counties with high home prices, the conforming limit is higher — up to $636,150.



For years, the interest rates on jumbo loans were consistently higher than the rates on conforming and FHA mortgages. But that changed during the recovery from the mortgage and real-estate meltdown of 2007 and 2008. Since then, interest rates on jumbo loans have been comparable to rates on comparable conforming loans. One main reason: Lending standards for jumbo loans tend to be more strict, with bigger down payments required.


Use Bankrate’s mortgage calculator to see how different loan amounts, interest rates and term lengths affect the mortgage payment.


RATE SEARCH: Ready to shop for a mortgage? Find the best deal today.




















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Bankrate.com’s editorial, corrections policy



Updated: Jan. 30, 2017








find-your-jumbo-and-fha-loan-limits

Veterans home loan program a model of stability in mortgage industry (Opinion) - OregonLive.com



By Chris Birk


Veterans in Oregon and across the country are turning to their hard-earned home loan benefits like never before.


The historic Veterans Administration home loan program had its biggest year ever in 2016, fueled by a surge of millennial veterans and service members. The VA backed more than 707,000 loans last fiscal year, nearly double the program’s volume from five years ago.


Created as part of the original GI Bill, these flexible, $0 down mortgages are helping a new generation of veterans and military families put down roots. VA loan volume in the Portland area and across Oregon has jumped about 75 percent from just a couple years ago.


This is a deserving demographic that believes in homeownership. Earlier this year, the national homeownership rate dropped just below 63 percent, marking a 50-year low. VA estimates the veteran homeownership rate is closer to 82 percent.


For many veterans and military families, the challenge has been securing financing in an era of tight lending and lagging wage growth. Military buyers can face unique credit and financial challenges that put conventional financing out of reach. VA loans allow qualified buyers to purchase with no down payment, no mortgage insurance and less-than-perfect credit.


The average VA buyer in 2016 had a FICO credit score nearly 50 points lower than their conventional counterpart, according to mortgage software firm Ellie Mae. It can take veterans and military families years to save the 5 percent down payment most conventional loans require.


This benefit program is also proving to be an economic springboard for those elusive millennial homebuyers. The VA estimates millennial-age veterans and military members accounted for a third of all loans last year, spurred by the $0 down advantage and more forgiving credit guidelines.


In many ways, VA loans continue to fulfill their original mission to help level the playing field for those who’ve served our country. But they’ve also become a surprising model of stability in the mortgage industry.


One of the most under-the-radar stories of the housing recovery is that a no-down payment loan has led the way in foreclosure avoidance. VA loans have had a lower foreclosure rate than both FHA and prime conventional loans for 25 of the last 35 quarters, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association.


Part of that success stems from the VA’s common sense requirements for discretionary income, an underwriting feature absent from other loan types. But loan program leadership is also committed to helping veterans keep their homes.


The VA keeps tabs on its more than 2 million active mortgages. Loan program staff members can intercede on behalf of troubled homeowners and encourage lenders and servicers to consider foreclosure alternatives.



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Since 2008, those efforts have helped more than 500,000 veterans avoid foreclosure.


Over the last decade, millions of veterans and military families have found a foothold in the housing market using the VA loan program. But millions more are still missing out.


VA surveys have found about 1 in 3 homebuying veterans didn’t know they had a home loan benefit. Theses government-backed loans aren’t the right answer for every would-be homebuyer. But understanding all of your mortgage options is key to making the savviest financial decision possible.


For so many veterans and military members, this hard-earned benefit winds up being the most powerful lending option on the market.


Chris Birk is author of “The Book on VA Loans: An Essential Guide to Maximizing Your Home Loan Benefits” and Director of Education for Veterans United Home Loans.




Veterans home loan program a model of stability in mortgage industry (Opinion) - OregonLive.com

Friday, January 27, 2017

reverse-mortgage-for-med-bills

Know how reverse mortgage loans work | Alistair Berg/Getty Images

Alistair Berg/Getty Images


Know how reverse mortgage loans work


The most common type of reverse mortgage is known as the Home Equity Conversion Mortgage (HECM). This kind of loan is insured by the Federal Housing Administration and is issued by lenders.


You have several options for how you’ll receive the money from a reverse mortgage loan, including the following:


  • Lump sum: You’ll receive a single amount of cash.

  • Tenure: You’ll have fixed monthly payments while you live at home.

  • Term: Expect to receive fixed monthly payments for a set period.

  • Line of credit: You’ll be able to withdraw the amount of cash you need when you need it until you’ve reached the line of credit’s limit.

  • Combination: You’ll receive a combination of monthly payments and a line of credit.

To qualify for a reverse mortgage loan, you’ll need to meet certain requirements, including that you own the home completely or have a low mortgage balance. You’ll have to live in the home and pay property taxes, insurance and maintenance costs.


The loan usually doesn’t have to be repaid until after you move out or die. Then, the home may be sold to repay the balance. If the place sells for more than the loan balance, you or your heirs will receive the difference. If it sells for less, the bank will take the loss.


Also, your children or heirs could arrange for the loan to be paid if they wish to keep the home.



Medicaid, Supplemental Social Security effects | Oliver Rossi/Getty Images

Oliver Rossi/Getty Images


Medicaid, Supplemental Social Security effects


“While a reverse mortgage doesn’t affect Social Security or Medicare benefits, it can adversely impact Supplemental Social Security and Medicaid,” notes Eichmiller.


This is because Supplemental Social Security and Medicaid are designed to help individuals that meet specific requirements, including income levels.


For instance, if you take the proceeds for a reverse mortgage loan in a lump sum, that dollar amount would count against you for Medicaid, says Greg Cook, vice president of Reverse Lending Experts. This is because a lump-sum reverse mortgage loan creates a nest egg that would most likely have to be spent down to qualify for Medicaid assistance.


For those who want to improve their chances of qualifying for Medicaid, “the better solution is to take the line of credit option of a reverse mortgage,” Cook says. “It’s tax-free but doesn’t count as income because they’re borrowing against their equity.”



Look at home modifications | KidStock/Getty Images

KidStock/Getty Images


Look at home modifications


Paying for medical expenses and maintaining a home can be difficult, even though most Americans want to do both. Eighty-three percent of retirees and those close to retirement want to stay in their home as they age, according to the Home Equity and Retirement Income Planning Survey released this year by The American College of Financial Services.


“Many people think that they’ll only be able to stay in their home temporarily,” Eichmiller says. But a reverse mortgage might allow them to modify their homes or get the care they need to stay in their homes indefinitely.


You might use the cash from the reverse mortgage loan to add safety features such as grab bars, low-pile carpeting to avoid tripping, or a stair lift chair.


Other modifications to lengthen the amount of time you can remain at home include putting in a shower and entryway that have no curbs or high steps, kitchen countertops at different levels so you can work at them while sitting or standing, wider doorways, better lighting and walk-in tubs.



Know the risks of medical bills | Sam Edwards/Getty Images

Sam Edwards/Getty Images


Know the risks of medical bills


One of the key benefits that a reverse mortgage loan brings is the opportunity to increase your current income. The cash you receive from the loan can be used however you feel fit, and if you have health conditions, the money could be put toward paying these expenses.


However, using the proceeds from a reverse mortgage loan for medical bills can create risks. If you face high, unexpected fees such as a trip to the emergency room or a long hospital stay, the costs may add up quickly and be hard to cover.


“Medical bills are personal, unsecured debt,” says David Reiss, professor of Law at Brooklyn Law School. “If you do not pay them, you may be sued and a judgment may be entered against you.”


To reduce your risk, consider ongoing health expenses, such as prescriptions or medications, before getting a reverse mortgage loan. Evaluate your income and plan a budget to cover the basics.


If you face unexpected charges, “you may be able to negotiate them down to a manageable level,” Reiss says.



Think about the upcoming years | Cultura RM Exclusive/Attia-Fotografie/Getty Images

Cultura RM Exclusive/Attia-Fotografie/Getty Images


Think about the upcoming years


If it’s likely your health situation could require a move to an assisted living facility or nursing home in the next few years, you could be facing an expensive change.


“With any reverse mortgage, if you are out of the home for more than 12 months, the loan is due and payable,” says Casey Fleming, author of “The Loan Guide: How to Get the Best Possible Mortgage.”


At that time, the home would be sold to pay off the loan, or your children or heirs could opt to settle it.


Furthermore, reverse mortgage loans come with various upfront costs, including origination fees, title insurance, a home appraisal and a home inspection. If you move soon after taking out a reverse mortgage loan, you’ll have paid these initial costs for a loan you didn’t use very long.



Evaluate your inheritance goals | Morsa Images/Getty Images

Morsa Images/Getty Images


Evaluate your inheritance goals


“A reverse mortgage is one of those tools that can be used in any estate planning,” says Heather McRae, a senior loan officer at Chicago Financial Services, Inc. “It’s one piece to consider within the larger plan.”


Before getting one to cover health costs, you’ll want to think about what will eventually happen to your home. “If you want to pass this asset on to your heirs, then a reverse mortgage is probably not a good option for you,” McRae says.


You’ll also be required to meet with a counselor to make sure you understand how the loan works. In addition, Fleming advises that you talk to your family and financial adviser.


“It’s really important to have somebody that has a decent understanding of financial matters,” Fleming says. That person can help you evaluate your income, health care options, and your future and that of your loved ones.




reverse-mortgage-for-med-bills

Bass Pro's Acquisition of Cabela's Is Coming Apart


We’ve known for a while that Bass Pro Shops plan to acquire Cabela’s (NYSE: CAB) was receiving stricter scrutiny by antitrust regulators than analysts originally thought it would, and the sporting goods retailer admitted the sale of its banking arm to CapitalOne Finance (NYSE: COF) was going to be difficult; the financial services firm just said the other day its involvement in the deal was all but dead.


During CapitalOne’s earnings conference call with analysts on Wednesday, Chairman and CEO Richard Fairbank said he expected to either withdraw his company’s application to acquire Cabela’s World’s Foremost Bank unit or have the application denied by the Comptroller of the Currency.


Fairbank explained that CapitalOne didn’t expect to be able to get regulatory approval for the purchase by Oct. 3, “the day when any of the parties involved in either the retailer deal or the bank deal can choose to terminate the transaction.” He said in a typical deal, a bank could just withdraw its application before receiving a denial, but because CapitalOne’s offer is part of Bass Pro’s merger deal, that would require the financial services giant to get approval from Cabela’s first.


Moreover, because CapitalOne is still operating under a consent order from the Comptroller due to money laundering violations a few years ago regarding a check-cashing business it once operated, it won’t be able to refile its application until it completes the AML work that is ongoing. It says it remains committed to helping Bass Pro Shops and Cabela’s complete their merger, but it’s apparently out of the picture now.


When Bass Pro offered to buy Cabela’s for $65.50 per share — or about $5.5 billion, including debt — last October, it was seen as a fairly straightforward and complementary deal. Although the two retailers were among the biggest in their niche, it was still a fragmented industry and the two didn’t have too much overlapping territory, but regulators in both the U.S. and Canada wanted to give the deal closer scrutiny.


In Cabela’s regulatory filing at the time, it said the additional information being sought would extend the waiting period before the deal could be consummated, though it still expected the deal to win FTC approval in the first half of the year. Even so, it also said “no assurance can be given that clearance will be received within such time frame or at all.” While that’s boilerplate for most deals, with another portion of the transaction having gone sideways, it adds an additional layer of uncertainty to the whole.



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Bass Pro's Acquisition of Cabela's Is Coming Apart

Police: Suburban Mortgage Loan Processor Stole Dozens of Identities - NBC Chicago


A northwest suburban mortgage loan processor stole “dozens” of victims identities to open bank accounts, credit cards and loans, authorities said.


Karolina M. Klambatseas, 34, worked for various mortgage companies while committing the theft dating back to May 2015, Wheaton police announced Monday.



The Schaumburg resident was arrested in December and indicted Jan. 12 on 59 felonies including theft, identity theft and financial institution fraud, police said. She also faces 31 misdemeanor charges.


Court information was not immediately available.



Published at 9:47 PM CST on Jan 23, 2017



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Police: Suburban Mortgage Loan Processor Stole Dozens of Identities - NBC Chicago

Thursday, January 26, 2017

fannie-maes-connecticut-avenue-securities-receive-top


January 26, 2017


Fannie Mae’s Connecticut Avenue Securities Receive Top Honors from Risk Magazine


Unique structure, positive investor feedback gain Fannie Mae recognition in a new award category



Alicia Jones




202-752-5716



WASHINGTON, DC – Fannie Mae’s (FNMA/OTC) Connecticut Avenues Securities (CAS) transaction, CAS 2016-C01, has received the first-ever Sovereigns, Supranationals, and Agencies (SSA) Deal of the Year award from Risk Magazine. The Risk awards spotlight the best practices in risk management and derivatives markets that result in positive outcomes for clients. The deal introduced innovative program enhancements to investors, further reducing credit risk exposure and promoting additional liquidity in a developing market. A Risk Magazine editorial panel determined award winners following their review of materials and feedback from clients and industry participants.


“We strive to design our program in a sustainable manner that promotes liquidity and builds a deep and broad investor base,” said Laurel Davis, vice president of credit risk transfer, Fannie Mae. “It is an honor to have our efforts acknowledged by such a highly respected publication as well as our investors.”


Despite turbulent financial market conditions in February 2016, Fannie Mae successfully issued CAS 2016-C01 with the execution of a $945.1 million note offering. Since its inception in 2013, the CAS program has issued more than $21.2 billion in securities and transferred a portion of Fannie Mae’s credit risk to private investors on single-family mortgage loans with an original unpaid principal balance (UPB) of approximately $721 billion, increasing the role of private capital in the mortgage market and reducing taxpayer risk. Through January 18, 2017, we have led the market in volume of risk transfer, transacting in over $25 billion across all of our programs, covering nearly $900 billion in UPB.


Throughout 2016, Fannie Mae led the market in providing transparency to enable market participants to evaluate its industry leading credit risk management practices and participate in its programs. Investors benefit from:


  • Data DynamicsAn innovative and unique tool, developed to enable users to analyze the vast amount of data made available in support of Fannie Mae’s credit risk sharing programs.

  • Enhanced disclosures– Designed in response to feedback from investors, enhanced disclosures for both CAS and Fannie Mae’s historical research dataset help investors to monitor their investments in the program and model credit performance.

  • Pricing transparency– The company’s webpages now provide pricing information for its Credit Insurance Risk Transfer (CIRT) reinsurance program, one of the key programs in its risk sharing suite

  • Expanded credit risk management resources- New webpages showcase comprehensive processes with video demos of innovative tools such as the proprietary appraisal analytics tool, Collateral Underwriter®.

  • A new Commentary and News section- Launched to enable market participants to stay connected with up to date news and information, the content is available on fanniemae.com and can be delivered directly to readers’ email.

Fannie Mae’s robust suite of premier credit risk sharing programs serve both its investor and lender customers. CAS and CIRT programs are further complemented with market-leading execution options for lenders, enabling them to retain a portion of the credit risk on loans or servicing that they originate or acquire.


Total 2016 Credit Risk Transfer Volumes

















Credit Risk TransferRisk Transferred

(in billions)
UPB at time of issuance

(in billions)
CAS$7.4$236.6
CIRT1.977.5
Lender Risk Sharing0.515.9
Total 2016 Volumes$9.8$330.0

*Cumulative through January 18, 2017, we issued $25.4 billion covering $881 billion in UPB.


To learn more about Fannie Mae’s most recent awards and achievements, visit: http://www.fanniemae.com/portal/about-fm/awards-achievements.html.


Fannie Mae helps make the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage and affordable rental housing possible for millions of Americans. We partner with lenders to create housing opportunities for families across the country. We are driving positive changes in housing finance to make the home buying process easier, while reducing costs and risk. To learn more, visit fanniemae.com and follow us on twitter.com/FannieMae.

fannie-maes-connecticut-avenue-securities-receive-top

a-few-comments-on-december-new-home-sales


New home sales for December were reported at 536,000 on a seasonally adjusted annual rate basis (SAAR). This was well below the consensus forecast, however the previous months combined were revised up slightly.


Sales were down 0.4% year-over-year in December. And sales are up 12.2% in 2016 compared to 2015. This was very solid annual sales growth.


Note that these sales (for December) mostly happened after mortgage rates increased following the election. As I’ve noted before, interest rate changes impact new home sales before existing home sales because new home sales are counted when the contract is signed, and existing home sales at the close of escrow.


This is just one month of data, and overall sales growth was solid in 2016, but we might see a dip in sales due to higher interest rates. If so, this will start impacting expecting existing home sales in January.


On Tuesday, after existing home sales for December were released, I wrote:


With the recent increase in rates, I’d expect some decline in sales volume as happened following the “taper tantrum” in 2013. So we might see sales fall to 5 million SAAR or below over the next 6 months. That would still be solid existing home sales. We might also see a little more inventory in the coming months, and therefore less price appreciation.


It will take several months of data to see the impact of higher mortgage rates – and this is the seasonally weak period – so we might have to wait for the March and April data.


Earlier: New Home Sales decrease to 536,000 Annual Rate in December.


New Home Sales 2015 2016Click on graph for larger image.


This graph shows new home sales for 2015 and 2016 by month (Seasonally Adjusted Annual Rate). Sales were up 12.2% year-over-year.


Note that December 2015 was a strong month for 2015.


And here is another update to the “distressing gap” graph that I first started posting a number of years ago to show the emerging gap caused by distressed sales. Now I’m looking for the gap to close over the next several years.


Distressing GapThe “distressing gap” graph shows existing home sales (left axis) and new home sales (right axis) through November 2016. This graph starts in 1994, but the relationship had been fairly steady back to the ’60s.


Following the housing bubble and bust, the “distressing gap” appeared mostly because of distressed sales. The gap has persisted even though distressed sales are down significantly, since new home builders focused on more expensive homes.


I expect existing home sales to move more sideways, and I expect this gap to slowly close, mostly from an increase in new home sales.


However, this assumes that the builders will offer some smaller, less expensive homes. If not, then the gap will persist.


Note: Existing home sales are counted when transactions are closed, and new home sales are counted when contracts are signed. So the timing of sales is different.







a-few-comments-on-december-new-home-sales

national-mortgage-rates-for-jan-26-2017


About our Mortgage Rate Tables: The above mortgage loan information is provided to, or obtained by, Bankrate. Some lenders provide their mortgage loan terms to Bankrate for advertising purposes and Bankrate receives compensation from those advertisers (our “Advertisers”). Other lenders’ terms are gathered by Bankrate through its own research of available mortgage loan terms and that information is displayed in our rate table for applicable criteria. In the above table, an Advertiser listing can be identified and distinguished from other listings because it includes a “Next” button that can be used to click-through to the Advertiser’s own website or a phone number for the Advertiser.


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national-mortgage-rates-for-jan-26-2017

Best Kirkland Products to Buy at Costco


Costco has turned upside-down the idea that store brands are inferior to national brands. Based on quality and value, many of the warehouse club’s Kirkland Signature products are as good as or better than similar items from big-name manufacturers.


See Also: 12 Secrets to Shopping at Costco


Here are a few of our favorites from Costco:


Kirkland organic extra virgin olive oil rose to the top in a study by the University of California, Davis. It was one of only a few imported oils tested to meet international and U.S. standards for extra virgin olive oils.


Costco-brand booze is receiving high marks for quality and value in states where the retailer is allowed to sell liquor. Kirkland Signature vodka and tequila, in particular, are both good values for the money.


It’s not just food and drink. Costco’s new Kirkland golf balls are being compared to the highly regarded Titleist Pro V1. Yet, a Costco-branded golf ball can sell for 60% less than a Titleist.


See more of the best Kirkland Signature products to buy at Costco.




Best Kirkland Products to Buy at Costco

Labor secretary nominee’s confirmation hearing delayed again


CKE Restaurants chief executive Andrew Puzder, center, departs Trump Tower in New York after a meeting Dec. 7. (Andrew Harnik/AP)

*Update: Puzder’s confirmation hearing has been delayed to Feb. 7, according to the Senate HELP committee. Story developing.*


President Trump’s Labor secretary nominee, Andrew Puzder, is a week away from his scheduled confirmation hearing. But the fast-food executive has yet to turn in his required paperwork — joining the list of Cabinet nominees to be slow in submitting key documents.


In a letter sent to Puzder on Thursday morning that was obtained by The Post, Sen. Patty Murray (D-Wash.) said she was worried the lag might not give lawmakers enough time to “perform a thorough review.”


“During our meeting nearly three weeks ago … you assured me your paperwork was already complete and that you expected it to arrive by the end of that week,” wrote Murray, who is the ranking Democrat on the Senate Health, Education, Labor and Pensions (HELP) committee, which needs to vet and approve the Labor nominee before his nomination goes to the full Senate for a vote. “Unfortunately, the HELP Committee is still waiting.”


[Trump may differ with his Labor nominee on this key point: The best way to create jobs.]


Potential Cabinet members who fall under the HELP committee for review are required to turn in some forms that compile general background information and some financial details several days before their hearings. Nominees also need to complete a background check with the FBI and submit financial disclosures to the Office of Government Ethics. In her letter, Murray said she was still waiting to hear from the White House about whether Puzder had completed his background check.


A Senate aide confirmed that Puzder has filed his ethics paperwork with the Office of Government Ethics. But the report, which would outline how the nominee plans to avoid conflicts of interest if confirmed, is still being reviewed and has not been submitted to the Senate.


George Thompson, a spokesman for Puzder, said in a statement that “Mr. Puzder’s nomination paperwork is progressing and he is looking forward to the hearing.”


Other Cabinet-level nominees have faced delays with their required paperwork. Treasury secretary nominee Steve Mnuchin initially left out about $100 million in assets from his financial disclosure forms. Education pick Betsy DeVos did not submit her ethics agreement to the Senate until after her confirmation hearing, leading lawmakers to push back her confirmation vote and spurring Senate Democrats to request a second confirmation hearing.


In the letter, Murray also asked Puzder and all other Cabinet nominees to submit up to three years of tax returns. Nominees are not required to turn in tax returns by law, but the Senate has traditionally requested the forms for some nominees, such as the potential head of the Treasury, which oversees the IRS.



Labor secretary nominee’s confirmation hearing delayed again

Hong Kong Dec drawndown mortgage loans rise 11.7 pct from Nov ... - Reuters



EFG International CEO says BSI integration entirely on schedule



ZURICH, Jan 26 EFG International’s integration of BSI Bank, the private bank it bought last yearfrom BTG Pactual, is “entirely on schedule”, ChiefExecutive Joe Straehle said on Thursday.




Hong Kong Dec drawndown mortgage loans rise 11.7 pct from Nov ... - Reuters

Wednesday, January 25, 2017

still-ineligible-for-harp-your-state-may-be-able-to-help


ineligible for harp

If Your Loan Isn’t Backed By Fannie Or Freddie, You’re Still Ineligible For HARP


All the happy news about the drop in the US foreclosure rate, the increase in property values nationwide, and the loosening up of HARP guidelines brings little joy to those who still can’t refinance. Underwater homeowners ineligible for HARP still can’t lower their costs by refinancing.


However, some state programs offer new relief to these homeowners.


Click to see today’s rates (Jan 25th, 2017)


Ineligible for HARP Doesn’t Mean You Have No Options


Most states supply some sort of aid for underwater homeowners who are ineligible for HARP. The Hardest Hit program, a federal remedy that was created in 2010, funds most of these plans.


Since 2010, many states have updated their programs to include more homeowners or offer more help.


New Rules: Check Your State


In Illinois, where nearly 20 percent of homes are still underwater, the I-Refi program helps borrowers by providing up to $50,000 to reduce their mortgage balances. Then, homeowners can refinance with mainstream lenders.


Underwater borrowers must owe at least ten percent more than their property value. The underwater home must be their primary residence. Homeowners must have made their last 12 mortgage payments on time. Their mortgage must also be current.


Income limits and home price maximums apply. This program is for those who are struggling, not heavy earners who made bad investments. The program’s limits and rules depend on local home prices and median incomes.


There are also credit score minimums, which range from 640 to 680, and participants must complete approved homeowner education programs.


Click to see today’s rates (Jan 25th, 2017)


States Receiving Hardest Hit Funds


The Department of the Treasury released a report in December 2016 detailing the amounts states received and how they are being used to help troubled homeowners, including those ineligible for HARP. Here’s a quick run-down:










































StateProgram Details
Alabama
Provides up to $30,000 to reduce the principal balance, pay delinquent escrow or past due payments, or recast the loan.

Arizona
Eligible homeowners can receive up to $100,000 in principal reduction if at least 120 percent underwater.

California
Eligible borrowers (income restriction apply) can qualify for up to $100,000 in principal reduction.

Florida
Offers up to $50,000 in principal reduction to eligible homeowners. Must owe at least 115% more than their home value.

Georgia
Does not offer a principal reduction program for underwater borrowers. However, those who experience hardship due to a permanent reduction of income may qualify for up to $30,000 to reduce their mortgage balance.

IllinoisProvides up to $50,000 to eligible homeowners who are current on their mortgage payments.
Indiana
Indiana offers mortgage payment assistance to eligible homeowners, but none of these programs include principal reduction or refinance.

Kentucky
Kentucky offers assistance to eligible homeowners to bring delinquent loans current. The program does not address underwater homeowners or principal reductions.

MichiganMichigan offers up to $10,000 in principal reduction to qualified underwater borrowers, and requires a matching reduction from the lender — for a total maximum of $20,000.
Mississippi Mississippi offers up to $50,000 to reinstate a delinquent mortgage, but does not address principal reduction or underwater home loans.
NevadaNevada’s Principal Reduction Program (PRP) offers eligible homeowners with negative equity up to $100,000 of assistance.
New JerseyNew Jersey’s program doesn’t address negative equity or principal reduction. It supplies up to $50,000 in aid to homeowners in danger of foreclosure through no fault of their own.
North Carolina
North Carolina does not offer principal reduction or address underwater properties. Its program provides interest-free loans of up to $36,000 to eligible homeowners in danger of foreclosure.

Ohio
Ohio’s solution to falling property values is unique in that it provides funds to demolish blighted properties and provide landscaping to improve neighborhood property values.

Oregon
Oregon’s approach is a little different. Its Loan Refinancing Assistance Pilot Project (LRAPP) refinances eligible underwater homeowners’ underwater mortgages into a new mortgage based on their home’s current value.

Rhode Island
Rhode Island doesn’t offer principal reduction or address underwater mortgages at all. It does offer help with mortgage payments to those with eligible hardships.

South Carolina
South Carolina doesn’t reference principal reduction or underwater mortgages. However, it does offer up to $36,000 to “help homeowners qualify for an acceptable modification or recast of their first mortgage.” This might take the form of a principal reduction.

Tennessee
Tennessee’s Keep My Home Program has been terminated.

Washington DC
DC’s Program provides up to $32,385 in aid to help delinquent homeowners bring their mortgages current. Underwater homes or principal reductions are not included.

There are several reasons to hang in there if you’re ineligible for HARP. First, programs are being updated all the time. Eligibility requirements are changing. New loan products are coming on the market all the time. Don’t Give Up.


For example, eligible homebuyers today can find Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac combinations of first and second mortgages that exceed the property value and cover all the closing costs.


That would have been unthinkable not long ago.


Most importantly, property values are recovering. In some places, this is happening more quickly than others, and it can feel frustrating if your area is slower to bounce back.


What Are Today’s Mortgage Rates?


Current mortgage rates for the HARP and other programs have held fairly steady this week — down slightly on Monday, bouncing back on Tuesday. It’s important to realize that mortgage rates move all the time, like stock prices, mutual funds, bonds and commodities.


Finding your best deal depends on being the strongest applicant you can be and shopping aggressively for your loan. Request several mortgage quotes from competing lenders to know that you’re getting a good offer.


Click to see today’s rates (Jan 25th, 2017)



The information contained on The Mortgage Reports website is for informational purposes only and is not an advertisement for products offered by Full Beaker. The views and opinions expressed herein are those of the author and do not reflect the policy or position of Full Beaker, its officers, parent, or affiliates.






still-ineligible-for-harp-your-state-may-be-able-to-help

Nokia 6 Smartphone Poised for Another Big Day


Just a week after HMD Global finalized the deal under which it will make new devices under the Nokia (NYSE: NOK) brand, the new Nokia 6 smartphone hit the online sales store in China. The device got more than a million registered pre-orders, and the unknown number of Nokia 6 phones in stock sold out in just one minute.


As the second flash sale approaches, interest is even higher with 1.4 million prospective customers already registered in China — the only market the phone is being sold in so far. The Nokia 6 boasts up to 64GB of memory, a curved Gorilla Glass screen, and a decent camera all for the relatively tame starting price of about $247.


Rumor has it the Nokia 6 may be available outside of China as early as next month. A major retailer in the Philippines is supposedly gearing up for Nokia 6 sales beginning Feb. 26. India is another market in which the Nokia name carries a lot of weight; the company once operated an extensive manufacturing plant in the country.


While there has been no news to suggest the Nokia 6 will make it to India or other markets soon — other than the Philippines-related rumors — it could be telling that the date being mentioned in that case is Feb. 26. That’s also when the annual Mobile World Congress (MWC) kicks off in Barcelona, Spain. HMD Global is expected to unveil additional Nokia branded phones at the huge gathering, and it would seem to be an appropriate moment to also start making its Nokia 6 available in other markets.






10 stocks we like better than Nokia

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Tim Brugger has no position in any stocks mentioned.




Nokia 6 Smartphone Poised for Another Big Day

Trump's swift mortgage move angers real estate industry - San Francisco Chronicle


Shortly after the inauguration on Friday, the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development “suspended indefinitely” a planned cut in the annual mortgage insurance premium on home loans insured by the Federal Housing Administration.


What’s not clear is whether the Trump team is signaling that it wants less government involvement in housing and mortgage markets or whether it was simply reacting to a move the Obama administration made on its way out the door.




The Obama administration announced the cut Jan. 9, and it was supposed to take effect this Friday. It would have reduced the annual insurance premium on most new FHA mortgages to 0.6 percent from the current 0.85 percent. That quarter-point cut would have saved someone with a $500,000 mortgage $1,250 per year.


Realtor groups immediately urged Trump to review its decision and reinstate the cut. “According to our estimates, roughly 750,000 to 850,000 home buyers will face higher costs and 30,000 to 40,000 new home buyers will be left on the sidelines in 2017 without the cut,” National Association of Realtors President William E. Brown said in a statement.



“Home buyers in California, who would have saved an average of $860 a year, will be negatively impacted more than any other state by the decision to not reduce the FHA premium,” California of Realtors Association President Geoff McIntosh said in a statement.


On the other hand, Ed Pinto, a resident fellow with the American Enterprise Institute, said that halting the premium cut “is actually good news for first-time buyers.” His research shows that when you cut the mortgage insurance premium in a seller’s market where there’s very little inventory, like we have in most parts of the country, it increases demand for FHA loans and increases home prices, making homes less affordable for FHA borrowers.


FHA loans are popular with first-time home buyers because they require lower down payments (as little as 3.5 percent) and lower credit scores (generally down to 580) than Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. Fannie and Freddie require mortgage insurance on loans with less than 20 percent down, but it comes from private-sector companies.


The FHA accounted for 12.1 percent of loans in the San Francisco metro area in the 12 months ending in September. That compares with 24.4 percent in California and 22.3 percent nationwide, according to the AEI/First American National Housing Market Index.


FHA loans are somewhat less popular here because the maximum loan amount this year on a one-unit home is $636,150 in all Bay Area counties except Solano, where it’s $431,250, and Sonoma, where it’s $595,700. In November, the median home price across the nine-county region was $695,000 according to CoreLogic.


The FHA charges borrowers a one-time mortgage insurance premium, which can be rolled into the loan, and an annual premium that is added to the monthly payment. These premiums go into the FHA’s Mutual Mortgage Insurance Fund, which absorbs losses on FHA loans.


Before the housing crisis, the annual premium on FHA loans with less than 5 percent down was 0.55 percent, but steep losses forced the FHA to raise this premium as high as 1.35 percent in April 2013. Since then, the fund has improved and the premium was cut.


In November, HUD announced that the fund had a capital ratio of 2.32 percent, marking the second consecutive year it had met its “statutory requirement to maintain at least a 2 percent capital ratio.”


“In fairness to the Trump administration, had the Obama administration felt (a premium cut) was appropriate, they should have done it back in November,” said Guy Cecala, publisher of trade publication Inside Mortgage Finance. He added, however, that the Obama administration could have been responding to the half-point jump in mortgage rates that took place after Trump won the election.


Edward Mills, an analyst with FBR & Co., said the move last week “was less about sending a message and more about meeting disclosure timelines required under federal mortgage regulations.” These rules generally require final loan documents to be sent out seven days before closing. “If they had waited until Monday (to suspend the premium cut), loans set to close between the 27th and 30th probably would not be able to close. You would have had to re-disclose,” he said.


Mills said we won’t really know where Trump will stand on real estate “until we see who he chooses as FHA director.”


He said that two potential nominees, Mark Calabria (a director at the libertarian Cato Institute) and House Financial Services Commission staffer Clinton Jones, come from the Republican Party’s conservative wing and would likely back limited federal support for housing. Two other potential nominees, Shawn Krause (a top executive with Quicken Loans) and Edward Brady (an Illinois home builder) come from the mortgage/home building world “and would likely push to expand the FHA’s role in the market,” he said.



Kathleen Pender is a San Francisco Chronicle columnist. Email: kpender@sfchronicle.com Twitter: @kathpender





Trump's swift mortgage move angers real estate industry - San Francisco Chronicle

New York Community Still Hunting for a Large Acquisition


The company wants a big deal to help push it over $50 billion of assets, at which point it will be considered systematically important.




New York Community Still Hunting for a Large Acquisition

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